The thing is, there was a majority vote on them even in the suspicion poll, and none of the teams in this clue voted for them. Tiffany's team at least had the excuse of not voting at all, and Parker's team voted for a team that didn't go up to ousting, but Lambdadelta's team suddenly switched from Adam to Sanosuke right at the start of voting. That seems really weird to me, especially since the person they voted for in the suspicion poll went up for ousting.
You know, the more I think about it, the more I think we're both right: Lambadelta's team really is the wolf team. I think we should put our vote on them.
I say we just wait for Rika to vote, and then vote the opposite of what she does. it won't matter much if we have two sheep up for ousting, but if there's a wolf there Rika definitely won't vote for them.
Definitely. And include a link to the part where he said he would tell everyone we're wolves if we didn't vote the way he told us to, when you link the post as a whole.
Okay, I think it's obvious who is the wolf from the third clue. If we're right about Rika being a wolf, we're going to have to convince everyone else of that too. It's something to keep in mind for Tuesday.
Oh, good. If you could handle our votes, I'd appreciate it. I'll try to keep an eye on it, but I don't know how much attention I'll be able to afford it. sob, online lecture.
Looking back at the votes, Tiffany's team voted for Rika during the first ousting. I'm beginning to think that we've been wrong this whole time, that maybe we did get a wolf team out on the first day. Given how close the vote was, I don't think a wolf team would vote for another wolf team, since one switched vote would have gotten Rika out.
Do you mind if I post the same idea to the main post? Also I'm leaving in an hour, do you want me to do the suspicion vote, or do you want to do it?
May as well put it on the main post. Honestly, at this point I think perhaps we should unlock this - we haven't got anything to hide, and nothing left to lose, either, really. Our defense of Tiffany and Nita is going to look bad in any case, probably - although we could also point out that if we were wolves and knew they were wolves, it would be a stupid risk for us to continue supporting them when everyone else was clearly going in the other direction last night.
I can only assume that the remaining wolf decided that sacrificing them and leaving us to hopefully take the fall for it was a better option - they could have tied the vote and had a fifty-fifty chance of keeping Tiffany and Nita in, but if that chance failed then they'd have a much harder time shifting blame for it.
I'm leaving not long after you, so you can go ahead and place our suspicion vote. Although if we assume we did get a wolf on the first day...I'm not sure which of the two teams that leaves I find more suspicious.
Our guts were right on the first day, want to trust them again? Because just looking at the votes alone is going to get us nowhere, both teams in the second clue have voted in ways that benefit the wolves.It'd be hard to say one is definitely a wolf team over the other.
Well, my gut was on Tiffany and Nita's innocence, so I'm a little unsure about trusting to that again. But if you have a more solid feeling, I'm willing to go on yours.
I suppose if neither of us are around for ousting, it's not as bad as it could be. If everyone agrees to go for the second clue, then Rika will decide it, but she's a pretty solid player and if we were to disagree, we'd just be leaving the result to a coin flip. If everyone decides to pursue the first clue anyway, well...we won't be voting and I suspect everyone's minds would be made up anyway.
I could be around for ousting, but at best it would be the last half of it.
Looking back at the first day, I'm thinking it's Adam. It was a pretty even vote, and it ended up being one vote that decided it. Klavier's team voted for Joe's team, which I can't see them doing if they were a wolf team. They could have easily switched at the last moment and have gotten Rika out.
I know, it's not the best logic, and it's all assuming that Joe and Takeru are wolves. But it's better than just leaving it to blind guessing, I think.
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Date: 2012-02-13 02:50 am (UTC)You know, the more I think about it, the more I think we're both right: Lambadelta's team really is the wolf team. I think we should put our vote on them.
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Date: 2012-02-13 05:16 am (UTC)Also, I'm going to be gone for ousting today. I might show up right at the tail end of it, but it's going to be up to you to take care of things, ok?
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Date: 2012-02-13 05:23 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-02-13 02:14 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-02-14 01:36 am (UTC)sob, online lecture.sob work changing my work days w;A;w
Date: 2012-02-14 01:49 am (UTC)sob, the class I'm computerless for is tuesday...
Date: 2012-02-14 01:52 am (UTC)Then we'll just have to put up the votes super-early I guess sob
Date: 2012-02-14 02:36 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-02-14 08:51 pm (UTC)Do you mind if I post the same idea to the main post? Also I'm leaving in an hour, do you want me to do the suspicion vote, or do you want to do it?
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Date: 2012-02-14 09:08 pm (UTC)I can only assume that the remaining wolf decided that sacrificing them and leaving us to hopefully take the fall for it was a better option - they could have tied the vote and had a fifty-fifty chance of keeping Tiffany and Nita in, but if that chance failed then they'd have a much harder time shifting blame for it.
I'm leaving not long after you, so you can go ahead and place our suspicion vote. Although if we assume we did get a wolf on the first day...I'm not sure which of the two teams that leaves I find more suspicious.
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Date: 2012-02-14 09:12 pm (UTC)Our guts were right on the first day, want to trust them again? Because just looking at the votes alone is going to get us nowhere, both teams in the second clue have voted in ways that benefit the wolves.It'd be hard to say one is definitely a wolf team over the other.
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Date: 2012-02-14 09:15 pm (UTC)I suppose if neither of us are around for ousting, it's not as bad as it could be. If everyone agrees to go for the second clue, then Rika will decide it, but she's a pretty solid player and if we were to disagree, we'd just be leaving the result to a coin flip. If everyone decides to pursue the first clue anyway, well...we won't be voting and I suspect everyone's minds would be made up anyway.
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Date: 2012-02-14 09:26 pm (UTC)Looking back at the first day, I'm thinking it's Adam. It was a pretty even vote, and it ended up being one vote that decided it. Klavier's team voted for Joe's team, which I can't see them doing if they were a wolf team. They could have easily switched at the last moment and have gotten Rika out.
I know, it's not the best logic, and it's all assuming that Joe and Takeru are wolves. But it's better than just leaving it to blind guessing, I think.
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